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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindBreakTheBanknigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)56% (61–47, n=108)53% (532–472, n=1004)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$20K$770K$635K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #53PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)53% (16 of 30 open)53% (58 of 110 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—0%12% (won 45% of 89)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)25% (won 71% of 190)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)45% (won 80% of 347)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)18% (won 99% of 142)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindBreakTheBanknigiri99VirIntrepidus
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $1.1MPackers $7.1KVikings $8.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $122KJaguars $80KTitans $109K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $204KPackers $38KVikings $12K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $78K49ers $62KCowboys $275
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $78K76ers $3.1KPacers $292
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $1.2MSaints $20—
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $122KJets $54K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $104KJaguars $20K—
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $84K76ers $2.2K—
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $11KPackers $399—
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $272Dolphins $2.1K—
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $496Packers $63—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $942K—Chiefs $7.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $76KChiefs $19K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $75KColts $1.3K—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $37K—Cowboys $5.8K
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K—Bills $7.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $3.1KCowboys $383—