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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1e46m3Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market17% (155–752, n=907)51% (35–33, n=68)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$536K$61K—
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #2PM monthly #14PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)73% (308 of 420 open)71% (160 of 225 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36——
Settled positions, side won—93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 11% of 46)—8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 86% of 7)—8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 75% of 8)—69% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up—90% (won 100% of 565)—15% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1e46m3Flaznorpjoseph00677
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $136KYes $9——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $14K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $357—Yes $2.7K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34—No $1.7K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9—No $1.2K—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $172—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13No $134—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $765—Under $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $257—No $4.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $47—No $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $20—Under $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $39—Over $922—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $54—Under $872—
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
same side · consensus No
—No $814No $81—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24—Under $702—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $596—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2—Over $523—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $19—Yes $471—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4—Over $445—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $354—
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $288Over $43—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—
Spread: De Graafschap (-2.5)
same side · consensus Vitesse Arnhem
—De Graafschap $136De Graafschap $66—
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $37Rockets $153—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $173—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $177—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15—Yes $112—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $94—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $78—