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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121primmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)88% (106–14, n=120)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$103K$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #306PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)54% (20 of 37 open)59% (79 of 135 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won83% of 102 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 33% of 21)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 75% of 4)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 100% of 6)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up70% (won 97% of 71)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121primmRN1S-Works
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $5.7KCowboys $4.9K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.8KOver $1.2K—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $1.2KLions $5.2K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.8KUnder $2.0K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.7KOver $248—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $144Rams $3.5K—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K—
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $958Browns $1.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $94Cowboys $1.4K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $267Lions $873—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $47KLions $2.2K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.5KUnder $5.8K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $3.4KEagles $1.5K—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $924Over $993—
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $745Commanders $579—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16Saints $677—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $14—