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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415FlaznorpHomeRunHazardZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2084–849, n=2933)54% (448–384, n=832)67% (85–41, n=126)
Consensus PnL$0$384K$332K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #989PM monthly #13PM monthly #9was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (94 of 170 open)70% (81 of 115 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415FlaznorpHomeRunHazardZzzz87
Will Brazil win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.4K—Yes $12K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.6K—Over $13K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $2.4KMavericks $5.9K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $399—Over $5.4K
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $960—Yes $239
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14Under $986—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $48—
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $43—Yes $189
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $5.2KPelicans $7.7K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.8K—Over $1.1K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388Heat $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Will Japan win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $298—Yes $538
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
—1win $4—1win $163