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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTime
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)50% (789–776, n=1565)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M-$5.0K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #21was PM monthly #789
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)63% (200 of 319 open)58% (51 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)17% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)23% (won 100% of 83)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)55% (won 100% of 201)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTime
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $5.2KNo $395
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus AEK
——AEK $4.0KReal Madrid CF $13
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus RB Leipzig
——RB Leipzig $2.8KManchester City FC $183
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus RB Leipzig
——RB Leipzig $2.5KManchester City FC $425
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $225
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.2KNo $5
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.8KNo $9
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liverpool FC
——Liverpool FC $904Fenerbahçe SK $41
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $665Under $10
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $340Under $111
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera
——Alice Tubello $263Marina Bassols Ribera $147
Charlottesville: Murphy Cassone vs Stefan Kozlov
opposite sides · consensus Stefan Kozlov
——Murphy Cassone $25Stefan Kozlov $376
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Monzon
——Franco Agamenone $61Ignacio Monzon $338
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8Yes $181
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $62No $77
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $126Over $2
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $52Michal Krajci $3
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: FC Porto O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $50Over $1
Exact Score: FC Porto 4 - 0 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $11No $39
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 4 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2No $44
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $14No $7
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Stade Rennais FC 1901 $6Olympiakós SFP $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $4.7KDaniil Medvedev $24K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $20KLorenzo Musetti $7.8K
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
——Real Madrid CF $24KReal Madrid CF $347
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $4.7KJanice Tjen $4.8K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $7.1KNo $752
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.7KUnder $137
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.4KNo $1.1K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Juan Bautista Torres $1.5KJuan Bautista Torres $1.9K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $3.0KNo $91
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $323No $1.9K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.1KUnder $10
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.0KNo $17
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $1.9KNo $15
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
same side · consensus PSV
——PSV $1.9KPSV $25
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.3KUnder $27
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
same side · consensus SSC Napoli
——FC Porto $520FC Porto $494
Exact Score: AEK 0 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
same side · consensus No
——No $134No $819
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $800Under $2
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $586No $127
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $317Over $287
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester City FC
——RB Leipzig $114RB Leipzig $291
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $378Over $5
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $258No $99
Spread: AEK (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
——AEK $313AEK $21
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $98No $223
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $239No $51
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $262Over $18
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $272Yes $4