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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188binaklBreakTheBankHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)51% (44–42, n=86)56% (61–47, n=108)52% (591–550, n=1141)
Consensus PnL$841K$26K$770K$385K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #863PM monthly #1PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (15 of 30 open)66% (96 of 146 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%—0%2% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)—43% (won 100% of 25)32% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)—52% (won 100% of 30)60% (won 100% of 189)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—5% (won 100% of 3)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188binaklBreakTheBankHomeRunHazard
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $1.1MPackers $17K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $945KSaints $22K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $144K49ers $25K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $164KDolphins $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Titans $161KJaguars $8
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Titans $102KJaguars $2.3K
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Titans $64KJaguars $34K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $78KFalcons $1.9K
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $4.6K76ers $44K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $32KFalcons $3.5K
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $13KDolphins $6
Spread: Packers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $2.8KPackers $2.4K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Colts $398Dolphins $2.9K
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $742Packers $1.8K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $1.1MChiefs $13K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $271KVikings $16K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $91KColts $2.8K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $38KCowboys $2.3K
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $12KVikings $9.3K