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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpnigiri99paintscrel
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)55% (433–356, n=789)0% (0–3, n=3)
Consensus PnL$856K$501K$365K-$4.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #13PM monthly #137was PM monthly #954
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (84 of 175 open)58% (105 of 182 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 5% of 409)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 41% of 222)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 115)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 94% of 271)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpnigiri99paintscrel
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $310Nets $21K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.5KNets $18K—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $32Yes $7.3K—
Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $4.5K—
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $1.9KNuggets $105—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.7KMavericks $145—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $16Under $1.4K—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260Oklahoma $507—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $94Timberwolves $545—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Providence Friars $136Colorado Buffaloes $492—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2Nets $579—
Florida vs. Kentucky
same side · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $3.1KFlorida $7.2K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $431Heat $9.8K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637Arkansas $12—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $374Texas Tech $177—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
—1win $101win $107—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3Yes $34—