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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)48% (288–313, n=601)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL-$11K$3.5M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (287 of 415 open)59% (105 of 178 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won67% of 253 at avg 53¢, ROI +7%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 27% of 41)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 62% of 79)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 75% of 68)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 89% of 65)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

90 on the same side, 55 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $138Yes $192No $249
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42Under $796
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.5KOver $9.6K—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3KYes $235—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7KOver $3.9K—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $494Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3KDalibor Svrcina $1.8K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.7KOver $470—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Julia Riera $2.0KRenata Zarazua $988—
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0KYes $62—
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.1KLavinia Tanasie $5—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $216Under $1.7K—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $175Over $1.5K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KUnder $422—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $880Over $725—
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $57No $1.4K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KOver $13—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $985Yes $319—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $819Yes $224—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $340No $585—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $682Yes $152—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $48—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Jordan Lee vs Keaton Hance
opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee
—Keaton Hance $151Jordan Lee $556—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $554Yes $125—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $671Over $1—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $78Yes $515—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6Over $502—
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $387No $89—
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $311Yes $20—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $225—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108Warriors $129—
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
—Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17Sofia Johnson $217—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $176Over $7—