Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)49% (6393–6579, n=12972)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$14.8M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #675
Sides with the consensus68% (15 of 22 open)69% (287 of 415 open)59% (105 of 178 open)54% (13 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

94 on the same side, 50 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1youcanbuythisbot
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KYes $2
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2KNo $7.2KNo $8.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5KUnder $839
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3KUnder $36
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
Julia Riera $870Julia Riera $2.0KRenata Zarazua $988—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529Yes $18
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $3.0KUnder $14—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773No $22KNo $4.2K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29No $11KNo $468—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161No $3.3KNo $213—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Under $24
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138Yes $192Yes $8
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42Under $2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.5KOver $9.6K—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3KYes $235—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7KOver $3.9K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4KUnder $49——
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $494Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3KDalibor Svrcina $1.8K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.7KOver $470—
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0KYes $62—
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.1KLavinia Tanasie $5—
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $216Under $1.7K—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $175Over $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $38
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KUnder $422—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $880Over $725—
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $57No $1.4K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KOver $13—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $985Yes $319—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $819Yes $224—
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $340No $585—
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $682Yes $152—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $48—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Jordan Lee vs Keaton Hance
opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee
—Keaton Hance $151Jordan Lee $556—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $554Yes $125—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $671Over $1—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $78Yes $515—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6Over $502—
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $387No $89—
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $311Yes $20—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $225—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108Warriors $129—
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
—Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17Sofia Johnson $217—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $176Over $7—