No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #527 · holds 25 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #527
Record (90 d)
1743/2957 · 59%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Top consensus positions
25 in listed consensus markets · 13 of 25 on the consensus side (52%)- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under $828 · now 72¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (57% of 36)
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?No $374 · now 55¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (67% of 51)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?No $234 · now 50¢ · in at 77¢with the consensus (56% of 9)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Under $58 · now 34¢ · in at 26¢against the consensus (Over)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo $46 · now 70¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (50% of 23)
- Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?Yes $33 · now 18¢ · in at 30¢against the consensus (No)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over $27 · now 28¢ · in at 7¢against the consensus (Under)
- Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under $24 · now 90¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (50% of 8)
Specialties
608 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 68¢- Soccer
+32 pts
side won 100% of 517 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +29%
- Tennis
+25 pts
side won 100% of 45 · avg entry 75¢
ROI +19%
- MLB
+30 pts
side won 100% of 15 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +28%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 100% of 53)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 100% of 96)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 99% of 137)
- 70¢ and up: 53%(won 100% of 322)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.