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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankpau1og1RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (41–49, n=90)60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market68% (360–171, n=531)
Consensus PnL-$451K$779K—-$115K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #551PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)52% (11 of 21 open)no open consensus position62% (93 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)11% (won 69% of 36)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)35% (won 97% of 116)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)37% (won 99% of 124)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)17% (won 100% of 56)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankpau1og1RN1
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $127KKings $76—Magic $360
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $73Celtics $28K—76ers $873
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $6.5KClippers $19K—Suns $492
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $1.5KClippers $298—Suns $9.1K
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $20KCiryl Gane $47K——
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $17K——Heat $680
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $6.5K—Suns $431
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.9K——Magic $215
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
Kent State $123——Bowling Green $1.9K
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $744—76ers $351
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $29——Heat $647
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $2Celtics $291——
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $6——Heat $274
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $243—Magic $3
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $43—Suns $43
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $50K——Heat $13K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $7.2K—Kings $162
Magic vs. Kings
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $278——Magic $4.3K
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $11—Celtics $1.4K
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $61——Under $286