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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x10e131b8c71888adb0f1480143143c0BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (24 of 28 open)70% (269 of 382 open)59% (73 of 124 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

59 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x10e131b8c71888adb0f1480143143c0BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8.7KYes $22
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.1KOver $1.9K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $7.3KYes $604
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
——Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.8KDalibor Svrcina $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.1KOver $2
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $10
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
——Whitney Osuigwe $2.1KLavinia Tanasie $5
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
——Julia Riera $1.6KRenata Zarazua $482
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $314No $585
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
——Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $48
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $677Yes $4
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $431Yes $125
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $239Under $103
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $225
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
——Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $33Sofia Johnson $213
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
——Cadence Brace $60Jo-Yee Chan $36
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $72Under $4
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $43Yes $3
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $28Over $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $29
Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $13Yes $4
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $10Yes $4
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $29KUnder $2.0K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $16KYes $11K
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $18KUnder $4.2K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $20KNo $1.5K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $2.6KYes $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.5KUnder $8.9K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.3KNo $5.1K
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
——AS Omónoia Leukosías $11KAS Omónoia Leukosías $3
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.7KUnder $128
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $8.4KOver $180
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
——Ferencvárosi TC $5.8KFerencvárosi TC $1.9K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KUnder $2.4K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.6KOver $3.0K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.6KUnder $15
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.2KUnder $24
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.9KNo $283
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.1KUnder $198
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
same side · consensus GenOne
——GenOne $2GenOne $5.0K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.8KNo $2.2K