PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnake0xheavy8880xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3608–2722, n=6330)89% (48–6, n=54)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)
Consensus PnL—$442K-$54K$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #921Hand-pickedHand-pickedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (61 of 92 open)93% (13 of 14 open)59% (83 of 140 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=1542Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 5252 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 8% of 520)6% (won 8% of 12)10% (won 52% of 2020)
Entries 30–50¢—28% (won 43% of 1451)3% (won 40% of 5)22% (won 93% of 4355)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 61% of 2005)9% (won 56% of 18)37% (won 99% of 7260)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 83% of 1276)82% (won 95% of 155)31% (won 100% of 5998)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsneakysnake0xheavy8880xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941RN1
Colts vs. Vikings: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.1K
Browns vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Titans $765—Browns $1.7K
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Falcons $290—49ers $2.0K
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105—Over $1.4K
Spread: Vikings (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $329—Colts $3
Spread: Vikings (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Colts $99—Vikings $5
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27KYes $9.7K—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $13KNo $12K—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $609—Yes $23K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.8KNo $7.8K—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $762—Yes $16K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $3.2K—
Brest: Tom Paris vs Romain Faucon
same side · consensus Romain Faucon
—Romain Faucon $9—Romain Faucon $8.7K
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
—No $134—No $3.3K
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $436—No $1.9K
Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Toulouse FC
—ES Troyes AC $160—ES Troyes AC $2.0K
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Jets
—Jets $137—Jets $1.8K
49ers vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Over $671
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $522—Under $1.1K
Spread: Jets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $19—Dolphins $1.4K
Cali: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
—Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida $384—Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida $270
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $220—Under $279
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $93—No $105
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $124—Yes $9
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $81—Ravens $36