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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | donube | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 70% (709–303, n=1012) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (15513–15596, n=31109) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $1.1M | $3.2M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #109 + pinned | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (142 of 178 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 51% (81 of 158 open) |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.