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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Lula20262026omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)33% (1–2, n=3)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$5.6M-$51K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #371PM monthly #47PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (120 of 211 open)62% (187 of 304 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)0%8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)100% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)0%38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)0%33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Lula20262026omnibus-076daaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
——Jan-Lennard Struff $945Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $8.6K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.6KNo $6.5K
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
——Real Madrid CF $128AEK $5.2K
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $283No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $156Over $3.0K
Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $358No $2.1K
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $56Yes $1.2K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $740Solana Sierra $476
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7Over $1.2K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $677
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
——Lukas Pokorny $100Toby Samuel $445
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $282Under $22
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $147Yes $141
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $260No $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2Under $217
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $38No $126
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
——Anna Siskova $121Marie Weckerle $43
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $110
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $7No $77
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $34Under $45
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $42Over $6
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $11KLorenzo Musetti $53K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $15KUnder $423
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha
——SK Slavia Praha $11KSK Slavia Praha $410
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Carlos Alcaraz $29Carlos Alcaraz $9.1K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
——Nishesh Basavareddy $896Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $141Under $6.8K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.7KNo $2.8K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $46No $4.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $209Under $3.8K
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $11No $3.9K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $808Over $3.0K
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $28No $3.1K
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
——Renata Zarazua $75Renata Zarazua $3.0K
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $104No $2.2K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $61Under $1.9K
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.9KYes $66
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13Under $773
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $59No $664
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $351Over $286
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $27Under $147
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $35Yes $104
Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $26Yes $79
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Betis Balompié
——Real Betis Balompié $68Real Betis Balompié $12
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $17Under $61
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
——Juan Manuel La Serna $43Juan Manuel La Serna $18