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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
furialetsgoHomeRunHazardnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)52% (590–548, n=1138)53% (529–468, n=997)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$28K$400K$639K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #929PM monthly #9PM monthly #53PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (63 of 90 open)55% (23 of 42 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 6)12% (won 44% of 90)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 100)25% (won 71% of 190)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 189)45% (won 80% of 347)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 99% of 142)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfurialetsgoHomeRunHazardnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.0KLions $38K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $7.9KPackers $2.4KVikings $8.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3KTitans $6.9K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $32Patriots $170Lions $638
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $7.7KPepperdine Waves $140K—
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $5.6K—Lions $19K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Saints $19KPanthers $238—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $3.2KTexans $8.1K—
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $8.3K—Cowboys $283
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $6.0KPackers $6—
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $5.4KCardinals $199—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.3KUnder $1.1K—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $2.6KChiefs $12K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $6.7K—Vikings $6.2K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.5KBrowns $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $2.0KColts $3—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $489—
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $321Rockets $72—