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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)74% (17229–5971, n=23200)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M$14.9M$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #949
Sides with the consensus65% (41 of 63 open)no open consensus position55% (35 of 64 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1WagerWizard
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $68K—Chargers $3.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32K—Lakers $84—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Celtics $28K—Bucks $116—
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Timberwolves $11K—Jazz $116—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2—Texans $7.1K—
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $1.0K—Seahawks $3.9K—
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Shunsuke Mitsui $3.3K—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $320—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Under $116—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Over $153—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $10—Chargers $55—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $89K—Packers $4.6K—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $87K—Seahawks $3.8K—
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $18K—Heat $138—
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $2.8K—Seahawks $9.9K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $2.2K—Seahawks $4.2K—
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $149—Seahawks $5.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $943—Nets $144—