Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026fred4332joseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)48% (58–62, n=120)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$84K$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #612PM monthly #8PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus57% (55 of 96 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position59% (23 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%52% of 91 at avg 46¢, ROI +10%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)24% (won 32% of 22)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)21% (won 42% of 19)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)51% (won 63% of 46)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)4% (won 75% of 4)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026fred4332joseph00677primm
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $52K——Commanders $285
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $44K——Panthers $6.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $21K——Colts $5.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9.1K——Under $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.4K——Over $3.9K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Under $5.3K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Under $4.6K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $3.5K——Commanders $133
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $26——Under $3.3K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $2.7K——Saints $16
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $924
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6——Under $1.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $597——Under $97
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $332——Colts $76
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $42K——Chiefs $48K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $41K——Lions $47K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K——49ers $40K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $19K——Over $6.8K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $95——Under $5.0K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
Eagles $605——Eagles $3.4K
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $173——Eagles $957
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $37——Eagles $195
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $53——Eagles $131