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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorplocuspmprimm
Record (consensus markets)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)17% (620–3056, n=3676)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$3.7M-$1.5M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #10was PM monthly #864PM monthly #63
Sides with the consensus67% (35 of 52 open)76% (223 of 294 open)no open consensus position60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NHL +3 pts n=15, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=25, ROI −22%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL ±0 pts, n=70—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)87% (won 1% of 876)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)0% (won 40% of 5)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)1% (won 67% of 9)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)11% (won 98% of 113)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorplocuspmprimm
Arkansas vs. Auburn
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
Auburn $5.9KAuburn $33—Arkansas $3.5K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
Arsenal FC $18KHull City AFC $50K——
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
Baylor $21K——Iowa State $16K
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union $299Toronto FC $24K——
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.5KUnder $11K——
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12KOver $1.2K——
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $822Under $3.0K——
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $33KOver $109K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $26KCarlos Alcaraz $23K——
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Federico Coria $47KFederico Coria $1.3K——
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $22KThiago Seyboth Wild $6.5K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
same side · consensus Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino $17KAdrian Mannarino $1.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5.1KUnder $2——
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $44Bianca Andreescu $4.3K——
Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Under $2.4K
Texas A&M vs. South Carolina
same side · consensus South Carolina
Texas A&M $616——Texas A&M $2.5K
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $246Under $2.0K——
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $537Under $95——
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $241Under $214——