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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpjayemeceeRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)38% (38–61, n=99)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M-$1.4K$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #993PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)63% (100 of 159 open)0% (0 of 1 open)51% (21 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12Soccer −3 pts, n=52—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%38% of 93 at avg 39¢, ROI −1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)25% (won 22% of 23)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)49% (won 33% of 46)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)20% (won 58% of 19)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 80% of 5)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpjayemeceeRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K—Over $1.8K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169—Cavaliers $708
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Max Houkes
—Tom Gentzsch $3.2K—Max Houkes $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Sandro Kopp
—Luka Mikrut $643—Sandro Kopp $6
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183—Lakers $210
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Max Dahlin $338—Max Dahlin $495
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166—Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $197—Lakers $248
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $155—Lakers $282
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $162—Raptors $116
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51—Over $29