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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 | TMingchan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 56% (35–28, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $14.9M | $38K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #655 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 65% (107 of 164 open) | 56% (24 of 43 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 28 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 46% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 54% (won 100% of 15) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 | TMingchan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | Over $1.8K | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | Billy Harris $6.2K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $1.5K | Hornets $169 | Cavaliers $708 | — |
| Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | Andres Martin $903 | Filip Jeff Planinsek $7.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $872 | Over $3.0K | — |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | — | Tom Gentzsch $3.0K | Max Houkes $760 | — |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain | — | Lucas Poullain $1.3K | Calvin Hemery $2.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $146 | Yes $2.8K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K | — |
| Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente opposite sides · consensus Santiago De la Fuente | — | Carlos Sanchez Jover $816 | Santiago De la Fuente $876 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | Yes $315 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $183 | Lakers $210 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $256 | No $12 | — |
| Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut opposite sides · consensus Sandro Kopp | — | Luka Mikrut $250 | Sandro Kopp $6 | — |
| Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles same side · consensus Ryo Tabata | — | Ryo Tabata $1.7K | Ryo Tabata $20K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.4K | — |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5.8K | Over $88 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $166 | Lakers $461 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $187 | Lakers $248 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $170 | Cavaliers $111 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | Under $41 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $51 | Over $29 | — |