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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighmicky456
Record (consensus markets)55% (12–10, n=22)54% (361–305, n=666)46% (385–445, n=830)60% (294–195, n=489)
Consensus PnL$576K$444K$502K$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #34PM monthly #6PM monthly #19was PM monthly #370
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (129 of 165 open)66% (44 of 67 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +32 pts n=264, ROI +8%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 264 at avg 68¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 17)5% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 100% of 5)32% (won 100% of 62)38% (won 100% of 105)18% (won 100% of 48)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)49% (won 100% of 137)26% (won 100% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)8% (won 100% of 21)50% (won 100% of 133)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighmicky456
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $5.1KPacers $20K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.5KOver $11K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $4.4KBulls $13K—
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13KUnder $256—
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $2.3KCanucks $10K—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.6KUnder $5.3K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Grizzlies $2.5KPelicans $7.6K—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KUnder $2.8K—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $3.4K—
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bologna
opposite sides · consensus Anadolu Efes
—Anadolu Efes $3.2KVirtus Bologna $2—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $408Under $1.6K—
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $6Knicks $26K—
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.1KOver $4.8K—
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
same side · consensus Pittsburgh
—Florida State $3.0KFlorida State $2.8K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $2.1KPelicans $3.4K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $4.7K—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $4.1KKnicks $397—
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4KOver $789—