Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 60% (294–195, n=489) · was PM monthly #370 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$19.5K
Record
294W / 195L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 489 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#721
Source
PM monthly #370
Record (90 d)
294/489 · 60%
Trades
5,272
Markets
991
Volume
$453.7K
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Specialties
264 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 68¢- NBA
+32 pts
side won 100% of 264 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 100% of 14)
- 30–50¢: 18%(won 100% of 48)
- 50–70¢: 26%(won 100% of 69)
- 70¢ and up: 50%(won 100% of 133)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.