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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| duratio12 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (25–31, n=56) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #857 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (108 of 158 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (31 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 65 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 78% of 9) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 79% of 19) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 95% of 19) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 100% of 18) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | duratio12 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AIK | — | AIK $3.4K | — | BK Hacken $465 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.1K | — | Under $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo | — | Juan Manuel Cerundolo $1.9K | — | Elias Ymer $163 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | — | Yes $326 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $68 | — | Yes $84 |
| Spread: PSV (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | — | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15 | — | PSV $113 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $15 | — | Yes $4 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $57K | — | No $4.8K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | — | Toby Samuel $5.9K | — | Toby Samuel $31K |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $33K | — | No $3.6K |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $18K | — | No $5.7K |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $18K | — | No $2.6K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | — | Under $2.5K |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.9K | — | No $80 |
| Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | — | No $74 |
| Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $49 |
| Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | No $114 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |