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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 20% (9–35, n=44) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | -$60K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (257 of 411 open) | 65% (133 of 206 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 109 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 40% of 30) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 70% of 47) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
58 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | Olympiakós SFP $32 |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | — | Alice Tubello $3.0K | Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.8K | Over $14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.8K | Over $1.1K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.0K | Yes $1.3K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $14 | Over $1.9K |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Liverpool FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $315 | No $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $955 | Over $6 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $949 | No $4 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | No $677 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 2 Liverpool FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $773 | No $21 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $237 | Hawks $430 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $325 | Thunder $273 |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Renata Zarazua $535 | Despina Papamichail $2 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 2 Liverpool FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $35 | No $474 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | — | Anna Siskova $274 | Marie Weckerle $55 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $202 | Grizzlies $119 |
| W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin | — | Oceane Dodin $200 | Eva Bennemann $99 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $125 | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $116 | Over $86 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $21 | No $132 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $50 | Yes $63 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $26 | No $15 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $129K | No $6.5K |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $119K | No $6.3K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $101K | No $4.4K |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) same side · consensus Real Madrid CF | — | AEK $92K | AEK $5.5K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $77K | Yes $20K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $26K | Under $2.7K |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | — | Olympiakós SFP $21K | Olympiakós SFP $109 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $20K | Yes $358 |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $15K | No $5.3K |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $19K | No $73 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $17K | Under $1.5K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | Under $4.0K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $9.8K | Under $5.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.2K | Under $6.8K |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.7K | Over $7.9K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $139 | Nishesh Basavareddy $6.1K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.8K | Under $3.0K |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.9K | Under $2.4K |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Liverpool FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | No $4.0K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | No $622 |
| Bratislava 2: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Zsombor Piros same side · consensus Zsombor Piros | — | Zsombor Piros $2.2K | Zsombor Piros $296 |