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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (49–111, n=160) | 52% (6399–5911, n=12310) | 50% (1103–1116, n=2219) | 47% (13828–15322, n=29150) |
| Consensus PnL | -$64K | $3.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (112 of 144 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (33 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 109 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 40% of 30) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 70% of 47) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | — | Over $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $28 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller same side · consensus Alexandre Muller | — | Alexandre Muller $1.3K | — | Alexandre Muller $4.8K |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Clippers $1.5K | — | Clippers $965 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | Quentin Halys $811 | — | Quentin Halys $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $249 | — | Under $48 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $116 | — | Yes $161 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $174 | — | Under $42 |
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Heat $3 | — | Heat $24 |