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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 20% (9–35, n=44) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$60K | $3.3M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (232 of 339 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 60% (143 of 238 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 109 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 40% of 30) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 70% of 47) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
55 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $343 | — | Central Michigan $12K |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | — | Over $462 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.8K | — | Over $496 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $437 | — | No $2.6K |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $2.5K | — | Cavaliers $523 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | — | Yes $9 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.5K | — | No $124 |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $159 |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bulls $1.4K | — | Knicks $149 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $100 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $992 | — | Bulls $64 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | — | Over $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $646 | — | Under $140 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $754 | — | Under $12 |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $739 | — | Under $6 |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $679 | — | Bulls $11 |
| Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $93 | — | Over $535 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $309 | — | Over $255 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $472 | — | Over $73 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $468 | — | Over $44 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $396 | — | Under $106 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $350 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $117 | — | Thunder $308 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $245 | — | Pacers $155 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $208 | — | Over $90 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $27 | — | Kings $253 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $123 | — | Over $86 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Trail Blazers $22 | — | Suns $155 |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $147 | — | Under $2 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $31 | — | Under $79 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $99 | — | Over $2 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Nets $51 | — | Hornets $35 |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $21K | — | No $5.7K |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $15K | — | Yes $3.0K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | Juan Carlos Prado $1.7K | — | Juan Carlos Prado $16K |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.2K | — | Under $5.5K |
| Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.5K | — | No $2.8K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $171 | — | Sacramento State $6.3K |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.7K | — | Over $165 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $5.3K | — | 76ers $240 |
| Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | — | No $498 |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) same side · consensus CA Mineiro | — | CA Mineiro $5.0K | — | CA Mineiro $85 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $4.2K | — | No $594 |