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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
btnaFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)71% (42–17, n=59)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$12K$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #517PM monthly #22PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)69% (235 of 341 open)74% (34 of 46 open)60% (144 of 239 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 36% of 11)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 64% of 14)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 100% of 11)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbtnaFlaznorpndb1RN1
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17KNo $973——
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12KNo $4.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $1.1K——
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $343—Central Michigan $12K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Over $462
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.8K—Over $496
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.3KNo $1.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KNo $63——
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $437—No $2.6K
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $2.5K—Cavaliers $523
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $9
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5K—No $124
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $159
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Bulls $1.4K—Knicks $149
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $992—Bulls $64
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $646—Under $140
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $754—Under $12
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $739—Under $6
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $679—Bulls $11
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $93—Over $535
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $309—Over $255
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $472—Over $73
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $468—Over $44
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $396—Under $106
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $350—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $117—Thunder $308
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $245—Pacers $155
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $208—Over $90
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $253
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $123—Over $86
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Trail Blazers $22—Suns $155
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $147—Under $2
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $31—Under $79
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $99—Over $2
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Nets $51—Hornets $35
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $23K—No $5.8K
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15K—Yes $3.0K
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Juan Carlos Prado $1.7K—Juan Carlos Prado $16K
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $5.5K
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.5K—No $2.8K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
—Sacramento State $171—Sacramento State $6.3K