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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bot-rapinferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (19–0, n=19)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$56K-$8.8M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #496was PM monthly #87PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)50% (16 of 32 open)77% (10 of 13 open)62% (34 of 55 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 11 at avg 98¢, ROI +9%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢0%40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 11)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbot-rapinferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $4Buccaneers $1.9KBuccaneers $3.1K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $295Buccaneers $90Buccaneers $4.6K
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $822Bears $3.5KBears $383
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $28KBuccaneers $24KBuccaneers $16K
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $23K—Clippers $1.6K
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $1.8KBears $21K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KOver $19K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $8.1KBuccaneers $2.0K—
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $2.4KBears $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $91K—Coco Gauff $58K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $65K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $6.5K—Keisuke Saitoh $26K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $14KOver $14K—
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.2K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.9K—Over $256
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $421Buccaneers $737