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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bot-rapinFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (3–0, n=3)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$21K$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #508PM monthly #22PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)67% (200 of 297 open)74% (34 of 46 open)61% (134 of 219 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢0%16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢0%17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 3)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbot-rapinFlaznorpndb1RN1
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $23KNo $4.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $343—Central Michigan $12K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.2K—Over $462
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.7K—No $2.5K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.3KNo $781——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.2KNo $1.1K——
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.2KNo $787——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $2.6K—Cavaliers $523
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5K—No $124
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $9
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $159
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $100
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1No $1.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $10
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $982—Bulls $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $668—Under $140
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $670—Under $12
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $540—Over $44
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $306—Over $255
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $543—Bulls $11
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $459—Over $73
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $280—Pacers $155
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $287—Grizzlies $118
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $350—Under $41
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $78—Thunder $308
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $211—Over $90
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $253
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Trail Blazers $22—Suns $155
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Nets $52—Hornets $35
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Juan Carlos Prado $1.7K—Juan Carlos Prado $16K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
—Sacramento State $219—Sacramento State $7.5K
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.9K—Under $3.2K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $5.2K—76ers $240
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9K—No $498
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.9K—No $594
Will AD San Carlos win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.5K—Yes $882
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $1.6K
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $1.3K—Hawks $957
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7K—Over $149
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $873—Over $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
—CA Mineiro $1.4K—CA Mineiro $85