Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999Flaznorpndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)47% (128–143, n=271)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (26154–25785, n=51939)
Consensus PnL$12K$4.1M$4.6M$1.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #9PM monthly #113PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus41% (7 of 17 open)73% (148 of 202 open)72% (71 of 98 open)66% (39 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=61, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 113 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 50)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999Flaznorpndb1UpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $752
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686—No $929
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $67
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
—FK Kolos Kovalivka $217—FK Polissia $270
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $31No $109K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $36CD Cobresal $13K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $5.4K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $117No $5.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $859—Under $2.0K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $1.2K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $1.5K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $125
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $319—Under $718
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837—No $174
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367—Under $606
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $689—Yes $282
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $576Over $390——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $922—Over $7
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1076ers $797——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $55Lakers $747——
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $28Lakers $601——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $321Over $302——
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $424—Over $14
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $30No $247——