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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)48% (558–608, n=1166)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$23K$501K$515K$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #13PM monthly #18was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)48% (83 of 173 open)60% (81 of 135 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $174Gen.G $383K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $1.1KBilibili Gaming $91K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $50Mavericks $38K—
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $309Indiana $22K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $3.1KKentucky $8.8K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $155Nets $11K—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $3.0K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880—
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $167Over $259—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Providence Friars $132Colorado Buffaloes $3—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $6.2KGen.G $621
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Terrance McKinney
—Jim Miller $2Jim Miller $6.8K—
Will Haiti vs. United States end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $83—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
—1win $101win $845—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $358Over $121—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $32No $60—