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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| basedcigani | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (228–146, n=374) | 52% (6565–6142, n=12707) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7K | $3.7M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 66% (183 of 279 open) | 47% (30 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 446 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 7% of 119) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 300) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Will Tokushima Vortis win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $955 | Yes $94 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $825 | Yes $1 |
| Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $193 | Over $337 |
| Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $418 | Under $34 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $93 | Yes $4 |
| FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $24K | Under $7.9K |
| Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $15K | No $4.2K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.6K |
| Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.8K | No $7.1K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.3K | Bianca Andreescu $8.5K |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.4K | No $5.8K |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $5.7K | No $5.4K |
| Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7.7K | Yes $3.3K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu same side · consensus Claire Liu | — | Alexandra Shubladze $179 | Alexandra Shubladze $2.8K |
| Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | No $406 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm | — | Kristjan Tamm $1.2K | Kristjan Tamm $111 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $104 | Under $1.1K |
| Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $998 | No $57 |
| Ōita Trinita leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $245 | Yes $782 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $435 | No $10 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | Under $41 |
| Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $188 | No $7 |
| Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $137 | Over $14 |
| Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Kyōto Sanga FC | — | Nagoya Grampus $80 | Nagoya Grampus $10 |