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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (241–150, n=391) | 43% (11756–15327, n=27083) | 56% (13275–10642, n=23917) | 48% (19552–21306, n=40858) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1K | -$9.4M | $1.4M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 73% (90 of 124 open) | 61% (17 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 457 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 7% of 120) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 64% of 14) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 308) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $256 | No $12 |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $35K | — | Janice Tjen $52K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Matsuyama: Jay Dylan Friend vs Yusuke Kusuhara same side · consensus Jay Dylan Friend | — | — | Jay Dylan Friend $706 | Jay Dylan Friend $347 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4 | No $21 |