Known as basedcigany since Nov 6 2026 · Previously known as: basedcigany (Nov 5 – Nov 6 2026)
Consensus PnL $3.1K · win rate 61% (228–146, n=374) · hand-picked wallet · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$3.1K
Record
228W / 146L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 374 settled
Batting Avg
69.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#746
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
27,775
Markets
515
Volume
$2.5M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No $51K · now 98¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (37% of 35)
Specialties
446 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 72¢- Crypto
+7 pts
side won 72% of 43 · avg entry 65¢
ROI 0%
- Economy
+7 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 93¢
ROI +1%
Weakest: Tech — held side won 90% of 10 at an average 91¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 27%(won 7% of 119)
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 67% of 15)
- 50–70¢: 3%(won 58% of 12)
- 70¢ and up: 67%(won 100% of 300)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.