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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (228–146, n=374) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 52% (6543–6108, n=12651) | 48% (14365–15875, n=30240) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7K | $7.3M | $3.7M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #26 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (177 of 253 open) | 61% (20 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 446 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 7% of 119) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 300) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $541 | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $778 | Yes $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $20K | No $11K |
| Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki | — | — | Yosuke Watanuki $9.6K | Yosuke Watanuki $9.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $2.6K | Bianca Andreescu $8.3K |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.6K | Under $35 |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.2K | Under $152 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $104 | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| M25 Heraklion: Ioannis Xilas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly same side · consensus Gilles Arnaud Bailly | — | — | Gilles Arnaud Bailly $184 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly $473 |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $524 | Under $28 |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $389 | Under $104 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $177 | Under $41 |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9 | Under $1 |