PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SteveTheFishCORGIIRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)72% (38–15, n=53)62% (385–233, n=618)48% (12125–12957, n=25082)50% (13637–13763, n=27400)
Consensus PnL$29K$4.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1000PM monthly #90PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (29 of 48 open)42% (14 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 99% of 214)22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8705)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSteveTheFishCORGIIRN1omnibus-076daa
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $564Under $32K
Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Dominko
——Sebastian Dominko $974Valentin Royer $1.2K
Will Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $5
W100 New Braunfels, TX: Arantxa Rus vs Kristina Liutova
opposite sides · consensus Kristina Liutova
——Kristina Liutova $1.0KArantxa Rus $19
W35 Norman, OK: Jenna DeFalco vs Ashley Lahey
opposite sides · consensus Jenna DeFalco
——Jenna DeFalco $324Ashley Lahey $54
Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
——Gonzalo Bueno $284Carlos Maria Zarate $2
M25 Las Vegas, NV: Andres Santamarta Roig vs Noah Johnston
opposite sides · consensus Andres Santamarta Roig
——Noah Johnston $151Andres Santamarta Roig $95
W50 Morelia: Ana Carmen Zamburek vs Anastasia Tikhonova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Tikhonova
——Ana Carmen Zamburek $114Anastasia Tikhonova $5
Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $29Over $13
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-10-29?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $16Yes $2
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $12KNo $6.7K
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus Astralis
——Eternal Fire $15KEternal Fire $37
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $5.2KYes $170
Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.3KUnder $19
Manchester City WFC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $740Over $3
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $27No $382
Real Ávila CF vs. Unionistas de Salamanca CF: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $91Under $45