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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppatoche99RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)no settled market47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$3.3M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22was PM monthly #976PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (156 of 221 open)no open consensus position53% (19 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1 at avg 7¢, ROI +93%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)100% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)0%22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)0%36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)0%32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppatoche99RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $940—Over $2.9K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Oksana Selekhmeteva
Oksana Selekhmeteva $71—Polina Kudermetova $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529
W35 Hamamatsu: Himari Sato vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Mio Mushika
Himari Sato $284—Mio Mushika $426
M25 Heraklion: Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri
opposite sides · consensus Kai Wehnelt
Kai Wehnelt $59—Benjamin Pietri $247
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
Alisa Oktiabreva $51—Antonia Stoyanov $26
W50 Heraklion: Maria Golovina vs Marta Lombardini
opposite sides · consensus Marta Lombardini
Maria Golovina $18—Marta Lombardini $2
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K—Under $45
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Jacopo Vasami
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Jacopo Vasami $1.2K—Jacopo Vasami $16K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3K—No $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115—No $3.3K
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
same side · consensus Yujia Huang
Yujia Huang $85—Yujia Huang $2.8K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $115
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $44—No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $100—Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $379—No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sara Saito
Sara Saito $5—Sara Saito $507
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117—Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
Yuzuha Negishi $15—Yuzuha Negishi $4