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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1patoche99RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)65% (885–467, n=1352)no settled market47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #21was PM monthly #976PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (172 of 234 open)80% (28 of 35 open)no open consensus position65% (24 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1 at avg 7¢, ROI +93%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 16% of 160)100% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 40% of 253)0%22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 57% of 310)0%36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 544)0%32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1patoche99RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $940——Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K——Under $45
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.4K
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Thomas Faurel
Thomas Faurel $1.5K——Thomas Faurel $7.1K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3K——No $1.5K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
Felix Gill $2.5K——Felix Gill $3.7K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova $523——Polina Kudermetova $5.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115——No $3.3K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $313——Otto Virtanen $2.9K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $1.3K——Samuele Pieri $1.1K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.0K——No $158
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $44——No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $100——Under $1.1K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $829——Robin Montgomery $322
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $379——No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
Pavlos Tsitsipas $586——Pavlos Tsitsipas $38
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
same side · consensus Filippo Romano
Peter Makk $191——Peter Makk $214
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
Jeremy Gschwendtner $116——Jeremy Gschwendtner $204
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239——Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117——Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1