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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppatoche99RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)no settled market47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #22was PM monthly #976PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (20 of 37 open)74% (174 of 235 open)no open consensus position63% (24 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1 at avg 7¢, ROI +93%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)100% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)0%22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)0%36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)0%32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppatoche99RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $940—Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Taranto: Leonardo Rossi vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Remy Bertola
—Remy Bertola $700—Leonardo Rossi $12
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
opposite sides · consensus Peter Makk
—Peter Makk $191—Filippo Romano $29
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39K—Under $45
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Thomas Faurel
—Thomas Faurel $1.5K—Thomas Faurel $7.1K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.3K—No $1.5K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
—Felix Gill $2.5K—Felix Gill $3.7K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $523—Polina Kudermetova $5.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115—No $3.3K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $313—Otto Virtanen $2.9K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
—Samuele Pieri $1.3K—Samuele Pieri $1.1K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $158
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $44—No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $100—Under $1.1K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $829—Robin Montgomery $322
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379—No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
—Pavlos Tsitsipas $586—Pavlos Tsitsipas $38
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Jeremy Gschwendtner $116—Jeremy Gschwendtner $204
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117—Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1