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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorppatoche99RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4470–3348, n=7818)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)no settled market47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M—$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #22was PM monthly #976PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)73% (172 of 235 open)no open consensus position65% (24 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1 at avg 7¢, ROI +93%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)100% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)0%22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)0%36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)0%32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorppatoche99RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $940—Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $63KAliaksandra Sasnovich $9.5K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $11K——Claire Liu $45K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39K—Under $45
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Thomas Faurel
—Thomas Faurel $1.5K—Thomas Faurel $7.1K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.3K—No $1.5K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
—Felix Gill $2.5K—Felix Gill $3.7K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $523—Polina Kudermetova $5.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115—No $3.3K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $313—Otto Virtanen $2.9K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
—Samuele Pieri $1.3K—Samuele Pieri $1.1K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $158
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $44—No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $100—Under $1.1K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $829—Robin Montgomery $322
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379—No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
—Pavlos Tsitsipas $586—Pavlos Tsitsipas $38
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
same side · consensus Filippo Romano
—Peter Makk $191—Peter Makk $214
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Jeremy Gschwendtner $116—Jeremy Gschwendtner $204
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117—Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1