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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1nehcnehcRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)61% (4024–2617, n=6641)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M-$859K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #96PM monthly #694PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (168 of 262 open)74% (34 of 46 open)80% (4 of 5 open)60% (127 of 211 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139Politics −7 pts, n=125—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)1% (won 20% of 92)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)25% (won 44% of 2260)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)40% (won 55% of 3534)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)34% (won 87% of 3004)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1nehcnehcRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $343——Central Michigan $11K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.1K——Over $462
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K——No $2.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.2K——Knicks $149
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K——No $124
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $9
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $928——Over $153
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $977——Bulls $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $663——Over $3
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $304——Thunder $308
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $543——Bulls $11
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $246——Pacers $190
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $284——Grizzlies $118
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $350——Under $41
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $27——Kings $253
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $230——Under $6
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124——Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123——Over $86
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $20——Pelicans $154
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
Juan Carlos Prado $1.5K——Juan Carlos Prado $15K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $219——Sacramento State $5.6K
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9K——No $498
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $4.9K——76ers $240
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K——No $533
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $873——Over $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Under $382
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $1.0K——Knicks $356
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro $1.3K——CA Mineiro $65
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101——Under $1.1K
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $422——No $742
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $703——Under $364
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $898——Over $75
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro $903——CA Mineiro $9
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $732——Pelicans $130
Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $814——No $6
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $642——Under $140
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720——Under $20
Spread: Wizards (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $429——Hawks $288
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $394——Raptors $278
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $534——Pelicans $136
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $595——Lakers $3
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $324——Hawks $188