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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | Shady-Tool | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6555–6124, n=12679) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 85% (335–58, n=393) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $4.8M | -$23K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #425 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (297 of 414 open) | 72% (59 of 82 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Soccer −17 pts, n=18 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 404 at avg 85¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 4% (won 22% of 18) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 7% (won 56% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 85% (won 93% of 344) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | Shady-Tool | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $757 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | — | Under $64 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | — | Athletic Club $226 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $137 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $34K | Under $31K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Under $21K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $489 | — | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | No $5.4K |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | Hull City AFC $5.2K | Hull City AFC $2.9K | — | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $578 | Under $6.4K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $319 | — | — | Under $718 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.0K | — | — | Over $7 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | — | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $872 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $361 | — | — | Under $595 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $112 | — | — | Yes $52 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $129 | — | — | CD Pamplona $6 |