Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpdonubendb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)70% (712–304, n=1016)63% (991–574, n=1565)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$1.1M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #192 + pinnedPM monthly #92PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (78 of 104 open)79% (131 of 165 open)70% (52 of 74 open)43% (9 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −13 pts, n=20NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)22% (won 6% of 202)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)5% (won 43% of 49)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 53% of 55)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)67% (won 96% of 612)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpdonubendb1RN1
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $319Yes $20K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $402Yes $6.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $195Yes $2.2K——
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $624Yes $1.7K——
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $628Yes $1.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $281——Ipek Oz $698
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $640Yes $14——
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $230Yes $5——
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $10No $53K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $26K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42