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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorplocuspmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6493–6083, n=12576)17% (612–2921, n=3533)47% (14272–15777, n=30049)
Consensus PnL$3.7M-$1.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #864PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (219 of 319 open)no open consensus position46% (30 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NHL +3 pts n=15, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=25, ROI −22%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL ±0 pts, n=70—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)87% (won 1% of 876)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)0% (won 40% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)1% (won 67% of 9)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)11% (won 98% of 113)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplocuspmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.4K—Over $234
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $2.1K—Kings $220
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.0K—Over $174
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2K—Under $6
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $2.0K—Kings $105
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.9K—Kings $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.7K—Kings $14
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.4K—Kings $133
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $217—Over $932
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524
Spread: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu $308—Kataller Toyama $38
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $204—Yes $71
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams
Idaho Vandals $131—Colorado State Rams $105
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tōkyō Verdy
Shimizu S-Pulse $98—Tōkyō Verdy $105
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $22K—Under $7.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.2K—Bianca Andreescu $8.5K
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5.8K—Under $6.7K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K—No $5.8K
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $5.4K—No $6.1K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.7K—No $5.4K
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.5K—Yes $3.4K
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.9K—Under $6
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K—No $5
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Spurs (-33.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $1.7K—Kings $15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1K
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $903—No $267
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $341—No $629
Ōita Trinita leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $66—Yes $761
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Will Albirex Niigata win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $539—No $102
Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $306—No $115
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm
same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm
Kristjan Tamm $66—Kristjan Tamm $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41
Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $53—Under $25