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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpl..messiRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)57% (1110–846, n=1956)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$84K$14.9M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #787PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus69% (79 of 114 open)no open consensus position53% (33 of 62 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)28% (won 12% of 436)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)10% (won 38% of 160)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 75% of 225)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)47% (won 97% of 716)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpl..messiRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $4.0K—Lakers $84—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K—Under $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $78—Richmond Spiders $193—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $107—Under $116—
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Shunsuke Mitsui $15—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $205—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $4.6K—Coco Gauff $28K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.6K—Over $746—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.1K—Over $318—
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $2.7K—Richmond Spiders $581—
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $1.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $1.8K—Bulls $20—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Over $46—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44—
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $391—Bulls $399—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612—Pistons $171—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—