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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpaintscrelThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)48% (558–608, n=1166)0% (0–3, n=3)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$501K$515K-$4.6K$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #18was PM monthly #954was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus48% (84 of 175 open)61% (82 of 134 open)50% (1 of 2 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)—8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)—58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)—33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpaintscrelThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $1.1KGen.G $3Bilibili Gaming $91K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $50Mavericks $38K——
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
USC $309Indiana $22K——
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $3.1KKentucky $8.8K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $155Nets $11K——
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3No $3.0K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K——
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880——
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders
Fresno State Bulldogs $906UC Riverside Highlanders $3——
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $167Over $259——
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Providence Friars $136Colorado Buffaloes $3——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus Gen.G
——Gen.G $4.1KGen.G $390K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $6.2K—Gen.G $621
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Terrance McKinney
Jim Miller $2Jim Miller $6.8K——
Will Haiti vs. United States end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $83——
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
1win $101win $845——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $358Over $121——
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
No $32No $60——