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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphaveanedge.xyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)71% (2084–849, n=2933)no settled market54% (448–384, n=832)48% (500–537, n=1037)
Consensus PnL$384K$0$332K$457K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #722PM monthly #9PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus55% (93 of 170 open)no open consensus position70% (81 of 115 open)72% (13 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—32% (won 100% of 68)36% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—60% (won 100% of 127)50% (won 100% of 166)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—7% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphaveanedge.xyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
——Kraken $43Hurricanes $34K
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $2.1K——Norway $16K
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3K——Under $14K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.8K——Under $5.7K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $3.4K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.0K——Denmark $3.5K
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C
opposite sides · consensus LGD Gaming
LEGION $9——LGD Gaming $1.4K
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14—Under $986—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
Duke $356—Miami (FL) $48—
Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers
opposite sides · consensus Adelaide Strikers
Perth Scorchers $11——Adelaide Strikers $20
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $5.2K—Pelicans $7.7K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296—Vikings $6.5K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K—
Seoul Thunders vs. Anyang
same side · consensus Seoul Thunders
Anyang $300——Anyang $1.4K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $388—Heat $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174—Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
Texas Tech $26—Texas Tech $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $1.1K—
M15 Monastir: Liam Gavrielides vs Julien Penzlin
same side · consensus Julien Penzlin
Julien Penzlin $13——Julien Penzlin $799