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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardhortikkkVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)71% (2821–1175, n=3996)52% (590–548, n=1138)67% (6–3, n=9)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$528K$400K$526$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #883PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensus47% (88 of 188 open)66% (50 of 76 open)44% (4 of 9 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=204———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 531)2% (won 100% of 6)—13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 315)32% (won 100% of 100)—40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 61% of 150)60% (won 100% of 189)—33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 320)7% (won 100% of 22)—13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardhortikkkVirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1649ers $8.4K—Cowboys $279
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $310Vikings $6.8K—Vikings $5.9K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.1K—Lions $36K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $3.3KSaints $20K——
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $4.2K—Lions $9.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1K—Titans $5.9K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $165——Chiefs $6.4K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $31Under $1.7K——
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—Yes $83—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $77Mavericks $202——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $612Seahawks $20K——
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $7.9K—Vikings $8.3K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Rockets $360Rockets $2.4K——
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $156Mavericks $2.4K——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $2.0K——
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $683—Yes $44—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $411—Yes $26—
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
Creighton Bluejays $51Creighton Bluejays $300——