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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGainMusclesRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)no settled market48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M—$14.9M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #509PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #55
Sides with the consensus69% (95 of 138 open)no open consensus position56% (25 of 45 open)86% (6 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGainMusclesRN1S-Works
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Jazz $1.0K—Timberwolves $17K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—No $153—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $783—Pistons $307—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $499—Nets $144—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $29—
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $64K—No $5.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $6.4K—Lakers $150—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $4.4K—Lakers $569—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.4K—Lakers $632—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $884—Mavericks $228—
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $351—Lakers $484—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612—Pistons $55—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $26—